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AP Statistics Key Terms
Data description, study design, probability and inference vocabulary.
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- PopulationTermThe entire group being studied
- SampleTermThe part of the population actually measured
- ParameterTermA number describing a population
- StatisticTermA number describing a sample
- Categorical variableTermPlaces individuals into groups
- Quantitative variableTermTakes numerical values that can be measured or counted
- Discrete variableTermTakes countable values
- Continuous variableTermTakes any value in an interval
- Bar graphTermShows counts or percentages for categories
- HistogramTermBars showing how quantitative data are distributed
- DotplotTermEach value shown as a dot above a number line
- BoxplotTermDisplay of the five-number summary
- Five-number summaryTermMinimum, Q1, median, Q3, maximum
- Interquartile rangeTermQ3 minus Q1
- Outlier ruleTermValues beyond 1.5 times IQR from the quartiles
- MeanTermSum of values divided by their number
- MedianTermMiddle value when ordered
- Resistant measureTermA statistic not strongly affected by outliers, like the median
- Standard deviationTermTypical distance of values from the mean
- VarianceTermThe square of the standard deviation
- Skewed rightTermLong tail toward larger values; mean greater than median
- Symmetric distributionTermBoth sides are mirror images
- Z-scoreTermHow many standard deviations a value is from the mean
- Normal distributionTermBell-shaped, symmetric distribution
- Empirical ruleTermAbout 68, 95 and 99.7 percent within 1, 2 and 3 standard deviations
- PercentileTermPercent of values at or below a given value
- ScatterplotTermGraph of two quantitative variables
- Correlation rTermMeasures strength and direction of a linear relationship, -1 to 1
- Least-squares regression lineTermLine minimizing the sum of squared residuals
- ResidualTermActual value minus predicted value
- Residual plotTermGraph used to check if a linear model fits
- Coefficient of determinationTermr squared, share of variation explained by the model
- SlopeTermPredicted change in y for each one-unit increase in x
- ExtrapolationTermPredicting outside the range of the data, which is risky
- Influential pointTermA point that greatly changes the regression line
- Lurking variableTermAn unmeasured variable influencing the relationship
- ConfoundingTermEffects of variables cannot be separated
- Simple random sampleTermEvery group of the chosen size is equally likely
- Stratified random sampleTermRandom samples from each subgroup
- Cluster sampleTermRandomly choose groups and survey everyone in them
- Systematic sampleTermChoose every kth individual
- Convenience sampleTermEasy-to-reach individuals; likely biased
- Voluntary response biasTermBias from people choosing to respond
- UndercoverageTermSome groups are left out of the sampling frame
- Nonresponse biasTermSelected individuals do not respond
- Response biasTermAnswers distorted by question wording or situation
- Observational studyTermObserves without assigning treatments
- ExperimentTermResearchers impose treatments on subjects
- Randomized block designTermGroup similar subjects into blocks, then randomize within blocks
- Matched pairs designTermSubjects paired or each used twice to compare treatments
- ReplicationTermUsing enough subjects so results are reliable
- BlindingTermHiding treatment information to reduce bias
- Law of large numbersTermRelative frequency approaches probability with more trials
- Sample spaceTermAll possible outcomes
- Complement ruleTermP(not A) = 1 - P(A)
- Addition ruleTermP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
- Independent eventsTermOne does not change the probability of the other
- Conditional probabilityTermP(A | B) = P(A and B) / P(B)
- Mutually exclusiveTermEvents that cannot occur together
- Random variableTermA numerical outcome of a random process
- Expected valueTermThe long-run average of a random variable
- Binomial settingTermFixed trials, two outcomes, independent, constant probability
- Binomial meanTermnp
- Binomial standard deviationTermsqrt(np(1 - p))
- Geometric distributionTermCounts trials until the first success
- Sampling distributionTermDistribution of a statistic across all samples of a given size
- Unbiased estimatorTermA statistic whose mean equals the parameter
- Central limit theoremTermSample means become approximately normal as sample size grows
- Standard errorTermEstimated standard deviation of a statistic
- Margin of errorTermCritical value times the standard error
- Confidence intervalTermA range of plausible values for a parameter
- Confidence levelTermLong-run percent of intervals that capture the parameter
- Null hypothesisTermThe claim of no effect or no difference
- Alternative hypothesisTermThe claim tested for evidence
- P-valueTermProbability of results at least as extreme as observed if the null is true
- Significance levelTermCutoff probability for rejecting the null, often 0.05
- Type I errorTermRejecting a true null hypothesis
- Type II errorTermFailing to reject a false null hypothesis
- PowerTermProbability of correctly rejecting a false null
- One-sample z-test for proportionTermTests a claim about a population proportion
- t-distributionTermUsed with sample standard deviation for means; heavier tails than normal
- Degrees of freedomTermNumber of independent pieces of information
- Two-sample t-testTermCompares means of two independent groups
- Paired t-testTermCompares means within matched pairs
- Chi-square goodness of fitTermTests whether counts match a claimed distribution
- Chi-square test of independenceTermTests association between two categorical variables
- Expected countTermCount predicted if the null is true
- Inference for slopeTermt-test of the slope of a regression line
- Conditions for inferenceTermRandom, independent (10 percent rule), and normal or large sample
- 10 percent conditionTermSample should be under 10 percent of population for independence
- Large counts conditionTermnp and n(1-p) each at least 10
- Statistical significanceTermResults unlikely to be due to chance alone
- Causation conclusionTermOnly well-designed randomized experiments support causal claims
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